This tracking page contains another set of indicators to determine the probable direction of the stock market. If money is to be made in the stock market a person must buy into new market trends when they are beginning and ride the trends until they no longer work. If no trend is evident, then an investor should just sit in bond or dividend stocks so that he or she will be paid while waiting.
Several stocks are listed in a table below that I will be tracking on an intermittent basis. Some bond stocks like AGG and IEF may not move much at all. An increasing price in the dividend stocks DVY and XLU may indicate a flight to safety, and that would be a time to exit long stocks and buy bonds. TZA is a leveraged short on small cap stocks that would work for a profit if the stock market is going down. If DBC, a commodities ETF, is going down, that is further proof of danger in stocks. Then, finally, I have included FXI, the China 25 large cap index. China often indicates the health of the world economy.
Note that in the table below, TZA did a reverse split** rather than actually gaining in value. This happens a lot with bear ETFs like TZA, VXX, and TVIX. Be aware that these stocks have a constant downward decay. They are really only worthwhile if the economy is going downhill, and a bear market is imminent.
As of June 28, 2013, I will only be documenting the table below once in a while because the weekly table was getting too long. I will try to record new data whenever a significant change has taken place. Viewing the statistics on an intermittent basis will also show bigger changes in the values. Trends will be more clear in this way.
Date | Dow | DVY | XLU | AGG | IEF | DBC | TZA | FXI |
10-26-12 | 13,107 | 57 | 36 | 112 | 107 | 27 | 16 | 37 |
11-2-12 | 13,093 | 57 | 36 | 112 | 107 | 27 | 16 | 37 |
11-9-12 | 12,815 | 56 | 34 | 112 | 108 | 27 | 17 | 36 |
11-16-12 | 12,588 | 55 | 34 | 112 | 109 | 27 | 18 | 35 |
11-23-12 | 13,009 | 56 | 34 | 112 | 108 | 28 | 16 | 37 |
11-30-12 | 13,025 | 57 | 35 | 112 | 108 | 28 | 15 | 37 |
12-7-12 | 13,155 | 57 | 35 | 111 | 108 | 27 | 15 | 38 |
12-14-12 | 13,135 | 57 | 35 | 111 | 108 | 27 | 15 | 39 |
12-21-12 | 13,190 | 57 | 35 | 111 | 107 | 27 | 14 | 39 |
12-28-12 | 12,938 | 56 | 34 | 111 | 108 | 27 | 14 | 39 |
1-4-13 | 13,435 | 58 | 35 | 111 | 106 | 27 | 12 | 41 |
1-11-13 | 13,488 | 58 | 35 | 111 | 107 | 27 | 12 | 41 |
1-18-13 | 13,649 | 59 | 35 | 111 | 107 | 28 | 11 | 41 |
1-25-13 | 13,895 | 59 | 36 | 110 | 106 | 28 | 11 | 41 |
2-1-13 | 14,009 | 60 | 36 | 110 | 105 | 28 | 10 | 41 |
2-8-13 | 13,992 | 60 | 36 | 110 | 106 | 28 | 10 | 39 |
2-15-13 | 13,981 | 60 | 36 | 110 | 106 | 28 | 10 | 40 |
2-22-13 | 14,000 | 61 | 37 | 110 | 106 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
3-1-13 | 14,089 | 61 | 37 | 110 | 107 | 26 | 10 | 38 |
3-8-13 | 14,397 | 61 | 38 | 109 | 105 | 27 | 9 | 39 |
3-15-13 | 14,514 | 62 | 38 | 110 | 106 | 27 | 9 | 37 |
3-22-13 | 14,512 | 63 | 38 | 110 | 106 | 27 | 9 | 36 |
3-29-13 | 14,578 | 63 | 39 | 110 | 107 | 27 | 9 | 36 |
Date | Dow | DVY | XLU | AGG | IEF | DBC | TZA | FXI |
4-5-13 | 14,565 | 63 | 39 | 111 | 108 | 26 | 40** | 35 |
4-12-13 | 14,865 | 64 | 40 | 111 | 108 | 26 | 37 | 36 |
4-19-13 | 14,547 | 63 | 40 | 111 | 108 | 25 | 40 | 36 |
4-26-13 | 14,712 | 64 | 41 | 111 | 108 | 26 | 37 | 36 |
5-3-13 | 14,973 | 65 | 40 | 111 | 108 | 26 | 35 | 37 |
5-10-13 | 15,118 | 65 | 39 | 110 | 107 | 26 | 33 | 38 |
5-17-13 | 15,354 | 67 | 40 | 110 | 106 | 26 | 30 | 37 |
5-24-13 | 15,303 | 65 | 38 | 109 | 106 | 26 | 31 | 36 |
5-31-13 | 15,115 | 64 | 37 | 109 | 105 | 25 | 31 | 36 |
6-7-13 | 15,248 | 64 | 37 | 108 | 104 | 26 | 31 | 35 |
6-14-13 | 15,070 | 64 | 38 | 108 | 105 | 26 | 31 | 33 |
6-21-13 | 14,799 | 63 | 36 | 106 | 102 | 25 | 33 | 32 |
6-28-13 | 14,909 | 64 | 37 | 107 | 102 | 25 | 31 | 32 |
7-28-13 | 15,558 | 67 | 39 | 107 | 102 | 25 | 25 | 34 |
8-30-13 | 14,810 | 64 | 37 | 106 | 100 | 26 | 27 | 35 |
9-27-13 | 15,258 | 66 | 37 | 107 | 101 | 25 | 22 | 37 |
10-25-13 | 15,570 | 69 | 39 | 108 | 103 | 25 | 19 | 36 |
11-30-13 | 16,086 | 70 | 38 | 107 | 101 | 25 | 18 | 40 |